People, who have the ability to connect willing buyers and
sellers, practice the real art of appraising businesses.
This ability to match buyers with sellers is of far greater value than many academic-style, often-complicated accounting methodologies, e.g. Discounted Cash Flow
(DCF), Capital Asset Pricing Models (CAPM), etc.
I am not suggesting that the accounting algorithms mentioned do
not offer business people any value. But
rather, that they may be better suited to e.g. appraisers striving to resolve disputes related to estate/gift
taxation, divorce litigation, etc.
You see,
selling your business is not a lot different to selling your home. Firstly, you can only sell it once, to one buyer. That effectively places you at a
disadvantage. Meaning, available
buyers could buy any home in your street, neighborhood, state… basically
anywhere.
Having one
thing to sell is only advantageous when you have something really unique, very
valuable, or in demand, e.g. Google buying Nest recently, Facebook trying to acquire
Snapchat, etc.
Secondly, in the USA “Certified Valuation Analyst (CVA)” implies that someone - usually a CPA - has
passed a certification exam. Much as
with e.g. licensed (or certified)
realtors, achieving a pass rate in a licensing exam does not result in the delivery of an expert analyst!
Quite often, valuators
will attach unrealistic and/or unachievable valuations; perhaps too high, sometimes too low.
Since you only
have one business to sell, a great strategy is to find more potential
buyers. Again, much like selling your
house when three buyers are bidding, this could help to drive your valuation higher. That's in addition to helping you
determine the real value (i.e. what someone is prepared to pay for it).
Valuations are driven by supply and
demand. Simple stuff. Even economists get this!
Now, simple business valuation metrics abound: businesses sell for 1x or 2x annual revenue, 10x net earnings, etc. These metrics may complement formal methodologies, like the ones mentioned above.
But, before you
spend money hiring an expert, rather talk to your competitors, clients, interested
and/or associated third parties (like vendors), etc. Do this to help pre-determine any potential buyers’
interest. Not a core skill? Then hire someone to do this on your behalf. A potential buyer may be someone you already know, or even an employee(s).
The guy or gal
who may be interested in buying your business will likely not show much interest in an expertly prepared DCF
valuation analysis, done by someone not willing to buy a business. Buyers would be interested in
your business’ financial standing though, so ensure that your financial statements are clean, ready and available, as
appropriate.
Now, think
logically, e.g.: let’s assume an
expert valued your business at $10 million, and you’re delighted with this
number. Casually, offer it to this same expert for e.g. $7.5 million.
Your 25%
discount offered would equal a nearly 33% potential return on investment when he sells it quickly, based upon his professionally prepared and realistic valuation, in the very near future.
He may need to round up some friends, based on his Rolodex of ex-clients, years of valuations
experience, connectivity to wealthy potential buyers, etc. Otherwise he could arrange short-term
bridge financing from a financial institution to fund this great investment
opportunity!
Then, he would be able to resell the business for $10 million (or even slightly less), and generate a very healthy, and quick return on his capital
investment. After all, the sales price will be based on his expert valuation! No different to a realtor buying an under-valued home, and flipping it for a handsome profit.
Gauge the response. You may be unpleasantly
surprised to find out that the valuation doesn’t meet his personal investment
criteria as an entry point. Of course, if he were to say
yes to the $7.5 million offer, you have a potential deal… and you’re then just
negotiating the price!
There are many other factors to consider when valuing a business. My intent with this short summary is to get you thinking counter-intuitively, foregoing the herd effect when faced with challenging business, investment, and life decisions!
There are many other factors to consider when valuing a business. My intent with this short summary is to get you thinking counter-intuitively, foregoing the herd effect when faced with challenging business, investment, and life decisions!